Spring Statement 26: UK growth to slow to 1.1% in 2026 before edging up

According to OBR forecast

Linus Uhlig
clock • 3 min read

UK growth is set to slow by 0.3 percentage points in 2026, according to the Office for Budget Responsibility’s (OBR) economic forecast, before increasing from 2027.

This marked a drop from the 1.4% expected by the UK's fiscal watchdog in December to 1.1% today (3 March) and provides "further evidence of a loosening labour market, and subdued business survey", according to the OBR.  However, while delivering her Spring Statement at the dispatch box, Chancellor Rachel Reeves emphasised that the UK's overall growth profile has been upgraded to an average of 1.6% per year from 2027, with the same figure for 2028 and 1.5% in 2029 and 2030.  The OBR noted that this current weakness is "cyclical" because there remains more spare capacity in the economy ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on UK

Budget 26: OBR slashes fiscal headroom to £15bn by 2029/30 after Middle East shock
UK

Budget 26: OBR slashes fiscal headroom to £15bn by 2029/30 after Middle East shock

Cut of more than £8bn

Michael Nelson
clock 28 October 2026 • 3 min read
Autumn Budget 2026: Reports suggest CGT/income tax equalisation off the table
UK

Autumn Budget 2026: Reports suggest CGT/income tax equalisation off the table

Keeping you updated in the run up to 28 October

Professional Adviser
clock 28 October 2026 • 1 min read
UK HNW individuals' confidence falls again – Saltus
UK

UK HNW individuals' confidence falls again – Saltus

Tax and pension concerns ‘shaping’ how HNW individuals think about financial futures

Jen Frost
clock 30 September 2026 • 3 min read