Ultra-low interest rates and QE 'broke 4% drawdown rule'

4% withdrawal rule of thumb

clock • 2 min read

The 4% rule of thumb often used to define a sustainable approach for drawdown in retirement is no longer fit for purpose due to prevailing and sustained market conditions, according to Lane Clark & Peacock (LCP).

The "nastiest, hardest problem in finance" has become even tougher in a world of zero - or negative - real interest rates and quantitative easing (QE), the consultancy said, while the two-decade-old 4% rule "comes from a different world" and needs rethinking. The withdrawal rate is causing many to run out of money while cautionary approaches to asset allocation, weighted towards bonds, "could be working against them" and lead to "years of lost income". Overall, the 4% rule is now three times more likely to lead to failure than a decade ago, due to both market conditions and increased ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Income

Why annuities are back on advisers' agendas

Why annuities are back on advisers' agendas

'Another factor bringing annuities back into focus is the evolving tax landscape'

Ahmed Bawa
clock 24 March 2026 • 4 min read
Just guaranteed income for life sales soar amid adviser demand

Just guaranteed income for life sales soar amid adviser demand

Reports IFRS loss before tax of £118m for 2025

Jen Frost
clock 27 February 2026 • 2 min read
Record-breaking year for annuities as larger pots drive £7.4bn sales

Record-breaking year for annuities as larger pots drive £7.4bn sales

ABI figures for 2025 at highest level since 2014 pensions freedom bombshell

Jenna Brown
clock 12 February 2026 • 3 min read