CBI sees end to credit crunch in '09

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The UK will begin its climb out of what has been a "shallow" recession early next year with GDP growth hitting near-trend rates by the end of 2009, according to the Confederation of British Industry (CBI).

In its latest economic forecast, the CBI says the UK economy will begin to stabilise over the next six months ahead of a gradual recovery, although it says growth in 2009 will be “feeble at best”. It predicts the country will this year enter a technical recession - with two consecutive quarters of negative growth – and says it has cut its GDP growth forecast for 2008 from 1.7% to 1.1%. In addition, it says it expects CPI inflation to hit a peak of 4.8% this quarter before falling to close to the Bank of England's 2% target by the end of 2009. Richard Lambert, CBI director-general, say...

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