Industry Voice: History suggests dividends can continue to grow

The key is finding the right companies

clock • 1 min read
Industry Voice: History suggests dividends can continue to grow

Economic conditions have been pushing investors' attention towards more defensive areas such as equity income. Over the last 6 months to 31 August 2022, the Global Equity Income sector has seen positive net sales flow of £1.83bn1.

With inflation currently proving so troublesome, a global equity income strategy has particular attractions. History tells us this is the case. The chart below, while focused on the US market, looks at the (very) long-term relationship between dividends and inflation.

 

ChartDescription automatically generated

The obvious question is whether dividends can continue to grow against the current backdrop. Encouragingly, if we look back since 1900, the 10-year annualised growth in dividends across the S&P 500 has outpaced CPI growth nearly three-quarters (73%) of the time.

The key in such a challenging environment will be finding the companies most likely to increase their dividends. In this regard, an unconstrained global approach can help identify the most attractive investment opportunities wherever they may be located, while also avoiding some of the sector skew and concentration issues that can be found in narrower universes.

For more on effective global dividend investing, read our exclusive guide: Going Global in Challenging Times

1) UK Investment Association as at 31 August 2022.

 

More on Economics / Markets

'Discussion-worthy stuff': Chinese assets under pressure

'Discussion-worthy stuff': Chinese assets under pressure

China has an 18% share of global GDP and only a 3% MSCI ACWI weighting

Chris Justham
clock 02 April 2024 • 2 min read
Why investors 'can't outrun' slow-moving demographics

Why investors 'can't outrun' slow-moving demographics

'Demographic change is a key megatrend'

Darius McDermott
clock 07 March 2024 • 5 min read
Spring Budget 24: Ten key takeaways from Jeremy Hunt's speech

Spring Budget 24: Ten key takeaways from Jeremy Hunt's speech

British ISA, Office for Budget Responsibility, tax cuts

Valeria Martinez
clock 07 March 2024 • 4 min read

In-depth

Firefighter to adviser: Ian O'Dowd on assessing the situation

Firefighter to adviser: Ian O'Dowd on assessing the situation

‘I don’t go into burning buildings to save financial plans, but the same ethos rings true’

Isabel Baxter
clock 10 April 2024 • 4 min read
US and UK elections: Opportunity or not for multi-asset investors?

US and UK elections: Opportunity or not for multi-asset investors?

‘The post-election environment has been historically positive for markets’

Charlotte Moore
clock 09 April 2024 • 4 min read
Are advisers using tax-efficient investing vehicles enough?

Are advisers using tax-efficient investing vehicles enough?

‘You should never let the tax tail wag the investment dog’

Isabel Baxter
clock 03 April 2024 • 7 min read