Industry Voice: History suggests dividends can continue to grow

The key is finding the right companies

clock • 1 min read
Industry Voice: History suggests dividends can continue to grow

Economic conditions have been pushing investors' attention towards more defensive areas such as equity income. Over the last 6 months to 31 August 2022, the Global Equity Income sector has seen positive net sales flow of £1.83bn1.

With inflation currently proving so troublesome, a global equity income strategy has particular attractions. History tells us this is the case. The chart below, while focused on the US market, looks at the (very) long-term relationship between dividends and inflation.

 

ChartDescription automatically generated

The obvious question is whether dividends can continue to grow against the current backdrop. Encouragingly, if we look back since 1900, the 10-year annualised growth in dividends across the S&P 500 has outpaced CPI growth nearly three-quarters (73%) of the time.

The key in such a challenging environment will be finding the companies most likely to increase their dividends. In this regard, an unconstrained global approach can help identify the most attractive investment opportunities wherever they may be located, while also avoiding some of the sector skew and concentration issues that can be found in narrower universes.

For more on effective global dividend investing, read our exclusive guide: Going Global in Challenging Times

1) UK Investment Association as at 31 August 2022.

 

More on Economics / Markets

Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

The current outlook for US tariffs is complex and their full impact on growth remains to be seen. Columbia Threadneedle Investments explores what advisers need to know, key events to keep top of mind and how to navigate the uncertainty.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments
clock 23 October 2025 • 5 min read
IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

Think tank urges chancellor to avoid 'limping from one forecast to the next'

Linus Uhlig
clock 16 October 2025 • 2 min read
Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

'One thing we know about Rachel Reeves is she will live or die by her fiscal rules'

Laith Khalaf
clock 07 October 2025 • 5 min read

In-depth

Reeves' rumoured ISA reforms risk 'harm' and diversification issues

Reeves' rumoured ISA reforms risk 'harm' and diversification issues

Concerns over rumoured £10k cash ISA cap and potential UK equity mandate

Sahar Nazir
clock 22 October 2025 • 5 min read
Rumoured Evelyn/RBC deal would turbocharge market share but large mergers 'notoriously complex'

Rumoured Evelyn/RBC deal would turbocharge market share but large mergers 'notoriously complex'

Sale ‘no surprise’ after Evelyn’s fund and professional services business offload

Isabel Baxter
clock 20 October 2025 • 6 min read
'There are sharks out there': V11 footballer plight highlights professional athlete financial vulnerability

'There are sharks out there': V11 footballer plight highlights professional athlete financial vulnerability

‘Sadly, in every industry there is good and bad'

Jenna Brown
clock 03 September 2025 • 8 min read