Why sequence risk is real (and can play havoc with portfolios)

Why it's real (and can play havoc with portfolios)

clock • 9 min read

Is sequence risk real, or overhyped? Investment consultant and industry stalwart Graham Bentley attempts to instil some order in the debate...

Industry commentators wailing about the horrors of sequence risk recently got a soft slap from FinaMetrica's Paul Resnik, when he opined their "reasoning was not supported by the evidence", based on his research. Given advisers are beginning to design shiny new ‘Centralised Retirement Propositions', what should we make of this spat? As I'm sure you're aware, sequence risk is the chance that a withdrawal and capital preservation strategy in retirement could be ruined by a series of negative returns. Put starkly, during a valuation fall of 40%, a 5% withdrawal taken monthly rises to over 8...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Income

Just guaranteed income for life sales soar amid adviser demand

Just guaranteed income for life sales soar amid adviser demand

Reports IFRS loss before tax of £118m for 2025

Jen Frost
clock 27 February 2026 • 2 min read
Record-breaking year for annuities as larger pots drive £7.4bn sales

Record-breaking year for annuities as larger pots drive £7.4bn sales

ABI figures for 2025 at highest level since 2014 pensions freedom bombshell

Jenna Brown
clock 12 February 2026 • 3 min read
Annuity rates rose to 7.51% by end of 2025

Annuity rates rose to 7.51% by end of 2025

Rise worth an extra £7,000 to £9,000 in lifetime income for a 65-year-old

Holly Roach
clock 28 January 2026 • 2 min read