Guy Stephens: Where has the business cycle gone?

‘Overvalued rollercoaster’

clock • 6 min read

As investors nervously await some kind of 'black swan' event that may derail markets, Guy Stephens takes a closer look at why the traditional business cycle has been disrupted

A couple of weeks away on the beach does wonders for the investment psyche and helps put all the noise into perspective. What is somewhat concerning, however, is there seem to be even more bears around than before embarking, willing a correction to occur. Yet corrections do not just ‘happen' - there has to be a sufficiently scary catalyst, causing investors to panic and prefer cash, earning negative real returns in the meantime. As we all wait for this correction event, with many on ‘black swan watch', having already moved to the side-lines, perhaps we should be thinking slightly diff...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Think tank warns UK fiscal hole could surpass £50bn by 2030

Think tank warns UK fiscal hole could surpass £50bn by 2030

Government not on track to meet ‘stability rule’

Sorin Dojan
clock 06 August 2025 • 1 min read
Chancellor Khalaf has a plan to make our economy boom

Chancellor Khalaf has a plan to make our economy boom

'So, Sir Keir, if you're reading, I do genuinely hope Rachel is doing okay. And my number's still the same. So, you know, call me'

Laith Khalaf
clock 25 July 2025 • 5 min read
UK capital markets need to close gap between 'perception and reality' - Poppy Gustafsson

UK capital markets need to close gap between 'perception and reality' - Poppy Gustafsson

Speaking at IA annual conference

Sorin Dojan
clock 26 June 2025 • 2 min read