Leaviss: Rates may be low for another year

With sovereign and political issues taking centre stage recently, macroeconomic indicators have taken a back-seat

clock

With sovereign and political issues taking centre stage in markets recently, macroeconomic indicators have taken a back-seat in many market participants' minds. But how have the advanced economies been recovering, absent these risks?

Today I'd like to focus on some research on labour markets that was recently published by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) in their World Economic Outlook and the implications this might have on central bank interest rates. Unemployment is a big problem at the moment and is a key challenge for policymakers globally. Strong labour markets generally result in higher consumption and wealth effects, generating higher standards of living and stronger GDP growth. Given this context, the IMF has sensibly asked: how long before employment recovers? Sadly the employment reports to come ou...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on UK

UK labour market and public finances among 'challenges' for Andy Burnham
UK

UK labour market and public finances among 'challenges' for Andy Burnham

Hiring conditions soften but wage pressures yet to fade

Michael Nelson
clock 21 July 2026 • 2 min read
Burnham fiscal rules pledge welcomed but 'difficult trade-offs' await
UK

Burnham fiscal rules pledge welcomed but 'difficult trade-offs' await

Reaction follows speech today

clock 30 June 2026 • 3 min read
Keir Starmer resigns as prime minister with new leader in post by September
UK

Keir Starmer resigns as prime minister with new leader in post by September

Burnham rumoured to have deep support within party

Jen Frost
clock 22 June 2026 • 2 min read