Budget 25: Early OBR reports downgrades UK growth outlook as fiscal headroom doubles

OBR report released in 'unprecedented leak'

Patrick Brusnahan
clock • 1 min read

The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) has slashed its forecasts for real GDP growth next year but found that the UK's fiscal headroom will receive a £22bn boost from the Treasury's latest economic plans.

Real GDP growth of 1.5% in 2025, 0.5 percentage points faster than predicted in March, but a drop to 1.4% in 2026, 0.5 percentage points lower than expected. This is according to the OBR's Economic and fiscal outlook, accidentally released today (26 November) ahead of the Autumn Budget announcement by chancellor Rachel Reeves in an "unprecedented leak". The OBR swiftly took down the report after it appeared online this morning and said in a statement: "A link to our Economic and fiscal outlook document went live on our website too early this morning. It has been removed. "We apolog...

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