Goldman Sachs warns UK inflation could top 22% next year

Higher than BoE forecast

Valeria Martinez
clock • 1 min read

Inflation in Britain could reach 22% next year if energy costs continue to soar, Goldman Sachs has warned. 

UK inflation, which topped 10.1% in July, could more than double and peak at 22.4% early next year if the Ofgem price cap rises by 80% in January, the bank has said. This prediction, alongside Citigroup's earlier forecast this month of 18.6% inflation in 2023, is far higher than the Bank of England's expectation of a 13.3% peak this October.  "Wholesale gas prices in the UK have surged by 145 per cent since the start of July and while our commodity strategists do not expect the recent spike in European gas prices to persist, we view persistently higher gas prices as an upside risk to ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Markets

Market Movers: Reports that the BoE is ruling out 'imminent' rate cuts

Market Movers: Reports that the BoE is ruling out 'imminent' rate cuts

Numbers "not consistent with a sustainable 2% inflation target"

Professional Adviser
clock 19 April 2024 • 1 min read
Market impact concerns ahead of US and UK elections divide industry

Market impact concerns ahead of US and UK elections divide industry

‘We need someone with a bit of something about them’

Isabel Baxter
clock 02 February 2024 • 3 min read
0.3% GDP growth fails to alleviate 'precarious' economic situation

0.3% GDP growth fails to alleviate 'precarious' economic situation

'An appropriately diversified portfolio is the best approach'

Hope Coumbe
clock 12 January 2024 • 2 min read