Economists: Post-Covid double-digit inflation warnings wide of the mark

Fears are 'overdone', experts argue

David Brenchley
clock • 5 min read

Economists and CIOs believe fears central bank and government stimulus measures to fight the economic effects of Covid-19 will lead to an inflationary shock are overdone.

One of the defining features of the coronavirus pandemic has been the sheer scale of the policy reaction as global lockdowns shut economies for months on end and pushed many countries into recession. Fiscal stimulus measures in the US and the European Union, for example, added up to around 13% and 4% of GDP respectively as of 24 July 2020, according to Statista.com. This surge in government borrowing and growing central bank balance sheets has caused an acceleration in money supply growth, according to global head of asset allocation at Invesco Paul Jackson. US M2 growth, for insta...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Your profession

OBR leak 'embarrassing' as Selby calls for pension stability after Autumn Budget

OBR leak 'embarrassing' as Selby calls for pension stability after Autumn Budget

AJ Bell’s Tom Selby joins Sahar Nazir in the studio to unpack the Budget

Sahar Nazir
clock 28 November 2025 • 1 min read
Andrew Goodwin: Advisers shouldn't have to be told to improve

Andrew Goodwin: Advisers shouldn't have to be told to improve

'The fact is that nobody stays ahead of the curve by standing still'

Andrew Goodwin
clock 28 November 2025 • 4 min read
Treasury Committee chair welcomes plan to replace Lifetime ISA

Treasury Committee chair welcomes plan to replace Lifetime ISA

LISA is ‘too complex'

Sahar Nazir
clock 28 November 2025 • 2 min read