War or recession needed to break persistent low volatility - Goldman Sachs

Fed tightening 'not enough'

Tom Eckett
clock • 1 min read

A large shock such as a recession or a war, rather than tightening from central banks, is needed to help jolt market volatility from record low levels, according to Goldman Sachs.

According to Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs strategists Christian Mueller-Glissmann and Alessio Rizzi said periods of low volatility such as the current one have lasted on average as long as two years. They said it was unlikely fears of Federal Reserve tightening would cause increased volatility, despite swings in the VIX, or the Fear index, over past week. Last month at its latest FOMC meeting, the Fed hiked interest rates for the second time this year but also spoke about tightening its balance sheet towards the end of the year, effectively beginning to reverse the quantitative easing pro...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

UK ups defence spending to 2.6% of GDP by 2027 as billions pledged

UK ups defence spending to 2.6% of GDP by 2027 as billions pledged

Chancellor delivered Spending Review

Sorin Dojan
clock 11 June 2025 • 4 min read
Chancellor to pledge billions to 'invest in Britain's renewal' in Spending Review

Chancellor to pledge billions to 'invest in Britain's renewal' in Spending Review

Rachel Reeves to unveil Spending Review later today

Linus Uhlig
clock 11 June 2025 • 1 min read
Five years on from Covid: What's next for markets?

Five years on from Covid: What's next for markets?

It is now five years since the start of the UK’s Covid lockdown. Since then, we have seen considerable market and geopolitical-related change. Here, William Marshall looks back over the past five years and also explores what we might expect from markets...

William Marshall
clock 06 May 2025 • 4 min read