War or recession needed to break persistent low volatility - Goldman Sachs

Fed tightening 'not enough'

Tom Eckett
clock • 1 min read

A large shock such as a recession or a war, rather than tightening from central banks, is needed to help jolt market volatility from record low levels, according to Goldman Sachs.

According to Bloomberg, Goldman Sachs strategists Christian Mueller-Glissmann and Alessio Rizzi said periods of low volatility such as the current one have lasted on average as long as two years. They said it was unlikely fears of Federal Reserve tightening would cause increased volatility, despite swings in the VIX, or the Fear index, over past week. Last month at its latest FOMC meeting, the Fed hiked interest rates for the second time this year but also spoke about tightening its balance sheet towards the end of the year, effectively beginning to reverse the quantitative easing pro...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Budget wish lists: Advisers share hopes and fears ahead of 26 November

Budget wish lists: Advisers share hopes and fears ahead of 26 November

Is increasing income tax the chancellor’s ‘least worst’ option?

Jenna Brown
clock 17 November 2025 • 9 min read
Bank of England holds interest rates at 4% as Budget looms large

Bank of England holds interest rates at 4% as Budget looms large

Five MPC members voted to hold rates

Michael Nelson
clock 06 November 2025 • 3 min read
Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

The current outlook for US tariffs is complex and their full impact on growth remains to be seen. Columbia Threadneedle Investments explores what advisers need to know, key events to keep top of mind and how to navigate the uncertainty.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments
clock 23 October 2025 • 5 min read