Rising unemployment will 'permanently damage' UK capacity

clock

Think-tank NIESR has warned rising unemployment rates, which will hit 9% by the end of the year, will do permanent damage to the UK's productive capacity.

NIESR said it expected the unemployment rate to rise to 9% from its current rate of about 8.3% by the end of 2012. "Elevated unemployment for such a long period is likely to do permanent damage to the supply side of the economy, with large long-run economic costs," read the report. In addition, NIESR increased its forecast for UK inflation as a result of rising oil prices, but said it expects inflation to fall back to below the 2% target by the end of the year. In the think-tank's report on the prospects for the UK economy, it maintained its growth forecast for UK GDP at near 0% fo...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

The current outlook for US tariffs is complex and their full impact on growth remains to be seen. Columbia Threadneedle Investments explores what advisers need to know, key events to keep top of mind and how to navigate the uncertainty.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments
clock 23 October 2025 • 5 min read
IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

Think tank urges chancellor to avoid 'limping from one forecast to the next'

Linus Uhlig
clock 16 October 2025 • 2 min read
Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

'One thing we know about Rachel Reeves is she will live or die by her fiscal rules'

Laith Khalaf
clock 07 October 2025 • 5 min read