Worst of downturn over but more pain expected - MPC

clock

The worst of the economic downturn is over, but recovery is expected to be painful and sluggish, according to the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee.

David Miles, the latest economist to join the committee, told the Treasury select committee the dire plunge in GDP in Q1 2009 will probably not be repeated, while house prices may not have much further to fall, The Guardian says. However, millions of people will see their wages frozen or cut as companies fight for survival in the recession, he says. "The prospect of a rapid return to growth does not seem a highly probable outcome, but there are reasons for thinking the period of the most rapid declines in output is behind us," says Miles. He predicts the UK will return to growth of...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Bank of England warns of future rate uncertainty after vote to hold at 3.75%

Bank of England warns of future rate uncertainty after vote to hold at 3.75%

One vote to hike rates

Michael Nelson
clock 30 April 2026 • 2 min read
Navigating an uncertain environment: Applying a disciplined, data-driven approach

Navigating an uncertain environment: Applying a disciplined, data-driven approach

'​Looking ahead, the fundamental case remains constructive'

Fahad Hassan
clock 28 April 2026 • 2 min read
UK inflation rises to 3.3% in March as Iran conflict impacts fuel prices

UK inflation rises to 3.3% in March as Iran conflict impacts fuel prices

Motor fuel rose 4.7%

Michael Nelson
clock 22 April 2026 • 2 min read