Worst of downturn over but more pain expected - MPC

clock

The worst of the economic downturn is over, but recovery is expected to be painful and sluggish, according to the Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee.

David Miles, the latest economist to join the committee, told the Treasury select committee the dire plunge in GDP in Q1 2009 will probably not be repeated, while house prices may not have much further to fall, The Guardian says. However, millions of people will see their wages frozen or cut as companies fight for survival in the recession, he says. "The prospect of a rapid return to growth does not seem a highly probable outcome, but there are reasons for thinking the period of the most rapid declines in output is behind us," says Miles. He predicts the UK will return to growth of...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

UK inflation rises to 3.8% in July

UK inflation rises to 3.8% in July

Core CPI also up to 3.8%

Sorin Dojan
clock 20 August 2025 • 2 min read
Bank of England meets expectations and cuts rates to 4%

Bank of England meets expectations and cuts rates to 4%

Lowest level in two and a half years

Isabel Baxter
clock 07 August 2025 • 4 min read
Think tank warns UK fiscal hole could surpass £50bn by 2030

Think tank warns UK fiscal hole could surpass £50bn by 2030

Government not on track to meet ‘stability rule’

Sorin Dojan
clock 06 August 2025 • 1 min read