Base rate will be 5.25% inside six months - SWIP

clock

Interest rates will drop to 5.25% within six months as the economy has hit a turning point, Scottish Widows Investment Partnership says.

Chief economist Richard Dingwall-Smith says evidence is mounting that the economy is slowing enough to keep inflation low. He says SWIP’s forecast is for growth to slow from a “robust” 3.1% this year to a “sub-trend” rate of around 2% next year. His comments follow a vote yesterday by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to keep the base rate at 5.75%. Dingwall-Smith says: “The decision by the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) to keep rates on hold at 5.75% was no great surprise given recent comments from individual members. "In our view, the UK economy is now at a turning point, with tig...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Your profession

Advisers can help cut through the noise for overwhelmed clients

Advisers can help cut through the noise for overwhelmed clients

'In an era marked by information overload, advisers transform uncertainty into clarity'

Ahmed Bawa
clock 07 August 2025 • 4 min read
Native capture: Why it's non-negotiable for modern compliance teams

Native capture: Why it's non-negotiable for modern compliance teams

‘Regulatory reviews require not just the message, but the full story’

David Clee
clock 07 August 2025 • 4 min read
Aviva scraps final additional charge on adviser platform to offer single, transparent fee

Aviva scraps final additional charge on adviser platform to offer single, transparent fee

Move to remove ETI charges aligns with Consumer Duty

Sahar Nazir
clock 06 August 2025 • 2 min read