David Jane: Cracks in the new orthodoxy

Have economic cycles fundamentally changed?

clock • 3 min read

The challenge for investors now is to invest money rationally when nothing seems rational any more, writes David Jane, who is avoiding high debt levels and high valuations - in case the new monetary system fails

After a decade of unbroken economic growth - at least in the world's strongest economy, the US - one starts to speculate on whether something has fundamentally changed in the nature of economic cycles. It is always dangerous to think ‘this time it's different' but it is equally dangerous to ignore structural change and constantly live in the past. In the era since the great financial crisis, policymakers have used a wide range of new monetary tools, all with the explicit or implicit goal of manipulating asset prices and avoiding credit and investment cycles. Prior to this, the economy wa...

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