David Jane: Cracks in the new orthodoxy

Have economic cycles fundamentally changed?

clock • 3 min read

The challenge for investors now is to invest money rationally when nothing seems rational any more, writes David Jane, who is avoiding high debt levels and high valuations - in case the new monetary system fails

After a decade of unbroken economic growth - at least in the world's strongest economy, the US - one starts to speculate on whether something has fundamentally changed in the nature of economic cycles. It is always dangerous to think ‘this time it's different' but it is equally dangerous to ignore structural change and constantly live in the past. In the era since the great financial crisis, policymakers have used a wide range of new monetary tools, all with the explicit or implicit goal of manipulating asset prices and avoiding credit and investment cycles. Prior to this, the economy wa...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Multi-Asset

Partner Insight: Weighing the risks and opportunities of Mag-7 dominance

Partner Insight: Weighing the risks and opportunities of Mag-7 dominance

The global stock market's concentration in a small number of mega-cap U.S. technology stocks, notably the Magnificent Seven, is raising systemic risk concerns among investors. While current valuations are high, they don't yet signal "irrational exuberance," says Paul Niven is Head of Multi-Asset Solutions, EMEA at Columbia Threadneedle Investments.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments
clock 22 October 2025 • 7 min read
Why there could be just four 'retirement income champions'

Why there could be just four 'retirement income champions'

And are advisers over-reliant on yield?

Isabel Baxter
clock 16 October 2025 • 5 min read
St James's Place adds four multi-index funds of funds to Polaris range

St James's Place adds four multi-index funds of funds to Polaris range

Priced at 0.20% OCF

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 08 October 2025 • 1 min read