Luke Bartholomew: Looming impact of Brexit weighs heavily on Budget

OBR windfall spent immediately

clock • 3 min read

Chancellor Philip Hammond approached this Budget with many of the most important decisions affecting the public finances already made for him - or at least out of his hands, writes Luke Bartholomew.

Despite this, he did receive some good news from the Office for Budget Responsibility's (OBR) upgrade to the short-term outlook for the public finances and the major strategic decision taken in this Budget was to spend the windfall. This means fiscal policy will provide a modest boost to GDP growth next year. Despite the OBR making a number of upgrades to its short-term growth forecasts, the medium to long-term outlook remains reasonably pessimistic. This reflects the UK's continuingly disappointing productivity record, and the fact that Brexit is likely to represent a further drag to po...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

UK inflation falls to 3% to give BoE 'green light' for rate cut

UK inflation falls to 3% to give BoE 'green light' for rate cut

In line with expectations

Michael Nelson
clock 18 February 2026 • 2 min read
Interest rate cuts expected after UK GDP edges up 0.1%

Interest rate cuts expected after UK GDP edges up 0.1%

Construction output lowest since 2021

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 12 February 2026 • 2 min read
Leaked Budget document viewed almost 25,000 times ahead of speech

Leaked Budget document viewed almost 25,000 times ahead of speech

Office for Budget Responsibility chair Richard Hughes quit as a result

Jenna Brown
clock 11 February 2026 • 2 min read