Multi-asset view: Why the market wobble may be 'Taper Tantrum' 2.0

Classic ‘late cycle’ behaviour

clock • 3 min read

As market participants seek to gauge whether this week's pullback is more than a 'pause for breath', Emiel van den Heiligenberg sees echoes of 2013's 'Taper Tantrum', when bond markets led a broader sell-off

After an unusually strong start to the year, equities have reversed course, prompting market participants to wonder whether the pullback constitutes the beginning of something more ominous than a pause for breath. One week does not make a bear market but it is the first sign of rising yields tempering investors' enthusiasm elsewhere. The economic scenario playing out so far is closely aligned to our Economics Roadmap where lower unemployment than in 2006 and US president Donald Trump's tax plan and protectionism stoke inflationary pressures while global growth remains strong. On balan...

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