Hendry: Markets are pricing in hawkish rate hikes

clock

Hugh Hendry, manager of the Eclectica fund, explains why central banks' inaction on interest rates has led markets to take matters into their own hands.

The market has become emphatic. We are in the midst of an orthodox, read strong, economic recovery and monetary policy is deemed too loose. Not willing to wait for official rate hikes, the money markets have taken matters into their own hands: a hawkish series of rate increases has been priced into forward curves. We are now very close to the rate pricing environment of 2004/07 when the global economy enjoyed almost unprecedented strong synchronized growth. The message from the fixed income desk is clear: we are preparing for a global boom. We, of course, dissent. I will reiterate ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Investment

FCA proposes 'targeted and proportionate' changes to listing rules for closed-ended funds

FCA proposes 'targeted and proportionate' changes to listing rules for closed-ended funds

Consultation runs into August

Michael Nelson
clock 26 June 2026 • 5 min read
Big games, big names… and smaller companies

Big games, big names… and smaller companies

'Brazil should be looking to the future rather than to the past'

Gabriel Sacks
clock 22 June 2026 • 4 min read
Why should investors back China in the worldwide robotics race?

Why should investors back China in the worldwide robotics race?

The race to identify Asia's hidden gems

Xin-Yao Ng
clock 19 June 2026 • 5 min read