Buxton: Will the market ignore the Election?

Scroders Richard Buxton looks at what impact - if any - the election might have on the markets

clock

If there is any consensus amongst investors, strategists and financial commentators, it is that in the run-up to polling day sterling will weaken further, gilt yields will rise and the equity market will fall.

The prospect of a hung parliament is a central scenario for many and, with it, the prospect of ineffective government and a crucial inability to take decisive action to rein in Britain’s fiscal deficit. As this outcome looms ever closer, so investors will sell sterling, gilt yields will rise in anticipation of the UK losing its AAA-rated sovereign status - plus heavy gilt issuance as far as the eye can see - and equities will inevitably be dragged back by rising bond yields. Clearly, as markets traditionally hate uncertainty, it would be no surprise if equities were indeed nervous and...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Investment

FCA takes civil action against Neil Woodford and W4.0 for 'operating without authorisation'

FCA takes civil action against Neil Woodford and W4.0 for 'operating without authorisation'

Accused of breaching FSMA

Michael Nelson
clock 08 June 2026 • 2 min read
M&G's PruFund coming to Scottish Widows Platform

M&G's PruFund coming to Scottish Widows Platform

First third-party platform launch

Jen Frost
clock 08 June 2026 • 2 min read
Investors move from cash to US equities as confidence improves

Investors move from cash to US equities as confidence improves

Investment Association figures show

clock 05 June 2026 • 3 min read