CME predicts December Bank of England rate hike

CME’s Bank of England Watch

clock • 1 min read

There is a 72.4% likelihood that the Bank of England will hike interest rates in December, according to CME’s Bank of England Watch tool.

CME, which uses its MPC SONIA futures prices to find market expectations of what BoE monetary policy will be, found there is a strong chance the bank will raise rates at its monetary policy meeting on 16 December. There is just a 27.7% likelihood of no change before the end of the year, while markets are pricing in zero prospect of further easing. Erik Norland, senior economist at CME Group, said: "SONIA futures markets currently price that the BoE will become the first of the major central banks to raise interest rates following the pandemic with a 21% probability that they move to tig...

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