UK inflation rises to 2.1%

Likely to fall again before year end

clock • 3 min read

UK inflation unexpectedly rose above target in July to 2.1%, just 24 hours after wage growth hit an 11-year high of 3.9% and the employment rate reached a fresh record.

The two factors combined mean the Bank of England (BOE) is more likely to raise interest rates in 2020 than cut them, according to economists - unless we see a negative Brexit outcome. Expectations had been for the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) to slip to 1.9%, from 2% in June. However, a number of "quirky" factors drove CPI above target for the first time since April, according to ING developed market economist James Smith. "The prices of games and toys rose by a massive 8.4% in month-on-month terms, the biggest such rise since the series began in the 1980s," noted Smith. "Accommoda...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Investment

Partner Insight: UK small-cap opportunities are 'The best for more than 30 years', Downing's Judith MacKenzie says

Partner Insight: UK small-cap opportunities are 'The best for more than 30 years', Downing's Judith MacKenzie says

Growing interest in IPOs and a surge in pension fund interest put UK small-caps on course for strong growth.

Judith Mackenzie, Partner and Head of Downing Fund Managers
clock 28 November 2025 • 4 min read
'It's been frantic – in a good way': Orbis' Matt Spencer on maintaining momentum

'It's been frantic – in a good way': Orbis' Matt Spencer on maintaining momentum

Advisers in the UK are ‘exceptionally high quality’

Jenna Brown
clock 25 November 2025 • 8 min read
Why 'bubble talk' doesn't always burst markets

Why 'bubble talk' doesn't always burst markets

What’s really driving recent returns?

Eleanor Ingilby
clock 20 November 2025 • 4 min read