UK rate rise more likely as Q3 GDP beats forecasts with 0.4% growth

MPC to meet next week

Jayna Rana
clock • 2 min read

The UK economy beat forecasts to grow by 0.4% in Q3, according to the latest figures from the Office for National Statistics (ONS), further increasing the likelihood of a Bank of England interest rate rise next Thursday.

Output for the three months to September was higher than the expected 0.3%, which was reported in both Q1 and Q2. Services and manufacturing did well during the quarter, up by 0.4% and 1% respectively. Services remained the largest contributor to GDP growth, with a "strong performance in computer programming, motor trades and retail trade", according to the ONS. Industrial production also rose in July and August but construction contracted for a second quarter in a row. The growth figures have led to financial markets believing a rate rise by the Bank of England is now even more li...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Andy Burnham to launch ten-year plan for UK

Andy Burnham to launch ten-year plan for UK

Cost of living measures to be set out

Jaskeet Briah
clock 20 July 2026 • 3 min read
Ex-MPC member Jonathan Haskel approved as OBR chair

Ex-MPC member Jonathan Haskel approved as OBR chair

Nominated by Rachel Reeves

Cristian Angeloni
clock 17 July 2026 • 1 min read
Burnham to stick with fiscal rules as power set to flow out of Whitehall

Burnham to stick with fiscal rules as power set to flow out of Whitehall

First speech since PM bid

clock 29 June 2026 • 2 min read