Autumn Statement 2016: OBR downgrades UK growth forecasts

GDP growth to fall to 1.4% in 2017

clock • 3 min read

The UK's GDP growth forecast for 2017/18 has been revised downwards by the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) in today's Autumn Statement, with Brexit-related uncertainty expected to cost the country 2.4 percentage points in growth over the next few years.

In his first Autumn Statement since being appointed as Chancellor in July, Philip Hammond (pictured) revealed economic growth in 2016 is expected to reach 2.1%, higher than previous forecasts of 2%. However, he said the OBR's forecast for 2017 has dropped significantly, from 2.2% made at the time of the March Budget to 1.4%. It is also set to fall to  1.7% in 2018, down from 2.1%. However, it will return back to previous forecasts of 2.1% in 2019 and 2020, and 2% in 2021. "While the OBR is clear that it cannot predict the deal the UK will strike with the EU, its current view is that t...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

UK inflation falls to 3% to give BoE 'green light' for rate cut

UK inflation falls to 3% to give BoE 'green light' for rate cut

In line with expectations

Michael Nelson
clock 18 February 2026 • 2 min read
Interest rate cuts expected after UK GDP edges up 0.1%

Interest rate cuts expected after UK GDP edges up 0.1%

Construction output lowest since 2021

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 12 February 2026 • 2 min read
Leaked Budget document viewed almost 25,000 times ahead of speech

Leaked Budget document viewed almost 25,000 times ahead of speech

Office for Budget Responsibility chair Richard Hughes quit as a result

Jenna Brown
clock 11 February 2026 • 2 min read