No rate hike until Autumn 2015, predicts E&Y

clock

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) should hold off on raising interest rates even though its stated threshold for doing so - a fall in the unemployment rate to 7% - is in sight, according to a report.

As well as unemployment, the Committee should add a requirement for real wages to be rising before it increases rates, according to the latest Ernst & Young (E&Y) ITEM Club report. The report highlights that, as the annual rate of inflation has steadily fallen in the last two years, this has not been accompanied by a rise in earnings. Over the same period that saw CPI inflation fall from 4.7% to 2.1%, earnings inflation has also fallen, from 3.2% to 1%. The E&Y report also said the MPC should preferably hold off increasing interest rates until business investment and exports have also...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Tax Planning

Demand for estate planning advice surges as IHT exposure set to triple

Demand for estate planning advice surges as IHT exposure set to triple

Advisers prepare for IHT reforms

Isabel Baxter
clock 21 October 2025 • 2 min read
Reeves has 'huge opportunity' to reform taxes in Autumn Budget

Reeves has 'huge opportunity' to reform taxes in Autumn Budget

‘Frankly, it’s become quite desperate’

Isabel Baxter
clock 14 October 2025 • 4 min read
IHT on pensions changes slammed as 'unworkable' - PIMFA

IHT on pensions changes slammed as 'unworkable' - PIMFA

Risk creating serious problems for bereaved families, trade body warns

Isabel Baxter
clock 24 September 2025 • 4 min read