Money markets suggest first base rate hike now looms a year sooner

clock

A dramatic shift in the outlook for interest rates has been seen with money market indicators now pricing in a base rate rise to 0.75% in two years' time rather than three.

A key interest rate curve now puts a rise from the current record low level of 0.5% in summer 2015, this shift forward has arrived as investors fear quantitative easing bond buying schemes will be eased back in the US and UK, the Daily Mail reports. Hints on the this from the US Federal Reserve have sent stock markets into a tailspin. Improved signs of life in the UK economy and niggling inflation, which rose to a higher than expected 2.7% in May, have added to the suggestion that ultra-loose monetary policy may be tightened sooner rather than later. Money markets have also seen th...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

Partner Insight: Tariffs are here to stay. What's next for investors?

The current outlook for US tariffs is complex and their full impact on growth remains to be seen. Columbia Threadneedle Investments explores what advisers need to know, key events to keep top of mind and how to navigate the uncertainty.

Columbia Threadneedle Investments
clock 23 October 2025 • 5 min read
IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

Think tank urges chancellor to avoid 'limping from one forecast to the next'

Linus Uhlig
clock 16 October 2025 • 2 min read
Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

'One thing we know about Rachel Reeves is she will live or die by her fiscal rules'

Laith Khalaf
clock 07 October 2025 • 5 min read