MPC's Dale: Inflation will fall to 3% by March

clock

Bank of England chief economist Spencer Dale has predicted inflation will fall to around 3% early next year and is confident the latest round of quantitative easing will prop up the economy.

Dale told Bloomberg he expects inflation to fall to around 3% in Q1 2012 as the impact of VAT and increasing oil prices drop out of the equation. "I expect to see inflation fall sharply next year to hopefully the low 3s (3%) by around March," he said. Dale said the squeeze on household income will ease in line with falling inflation. But he could not say how quickly prices will continue to decline after Q1 next year. Yesterday, the Office for National Statistics said UK CPI inflation declined from 5% to 4.8% in November, in line with forecasts. The Bank of England's inflation targe...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

OBR independence 'a major advantage' for UK economy

OBR independence 'a major advantage' for UK economy

Treasury Committee hearing

Alex Sebastian
clock 20 May 2026 • 4 min read
Bank of England warns of future rate uncertainty after vote to hold at 3.75%

Bank of England warns of future rate uncertainty after vote to hold at 3.75%

One vote to hike rates

Michael Nelson
clock 30 April 2026 • 2 min read
Navigating an uncertain environment: Applying a disciplined, data-driven approach

Navigating an uncertain environment: Applying a disciplined, data-driven approach

'​Looking ahead, the fundamental case remains constructive'

Fahad Hassan
clock 28 April 2026 • 2 min read