BoE: Inflation could fall to 3% by end of Q1

clock

Consumer Prices Index inflation could fall to 3% by the end of Q1 2012 as the impact of the VAT hike and high oil prices falls away.

The Bank of England said in its latest quarterly Inflation Report released today that CPI inflation - currently at 5% - could fall by as much as 200 basis points as quickly as the end of Q1 next year. In the report the Bank said: "The impact of the rise in VAT is likely to drop out by the end of 2012 Q1. "And, unless oil prices increase significantly again, the direct contribution of petrol prices to CPI inflation should also fall markedly by early 2012. "Together, the direct contribution of VAT and petrol prices to CPI is likely to decrease by around 1.5 to two percentage points b...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Interest rate cuts expected after UK GDP edges up 0.1%

Interest rate cuts expected after UK GDP edges up 0.1%

Construction output lowest since 2021

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 12 February 2026 • 2 min read
Leaked Budget document viewed almost 25,000 times ahead of speech

Leaked Budget document viewed almost 25,000 times ahead of speech

Office for Budget Responsibility chair Richard Hughes quit as a result

Jenna Brown
clock 11 February 2026 • 2 min read
BoE's Andrew Bailey: World economy 'remarkably resilient' amid uncertainty

BoE's Andrew Bailey: World economy 'remarkably resilient' amid uncertainty

Markets now 'cautious'

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 09 February 2026 • 1 min read