UK growth forecasts weaken but 'no recession yet'

clock

Dramatic stock market movements and disappointing economic data have caused leading economists to downgrade their growth forecasts, but they are still not predicting a recession.

Michael Saunders, an economist at Citigroup, said the firm had begun the year with a growth forecast stronger than many of its peers in the private sector.  However, he now believes a pick-up in business activity and a consequent boost to jobs and demand is unlikely, the FT reports “Our base is not a recession, but an extended period of sluggish growth and rising unemployment,” Saunders said. Although British companies have cash on their balance sheets, the slide in financial markets along with continued fears over eurozone government debt has jolted confidence badly, he said. “...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Gilt yields fall after Donald Trump backs down in 'tariff war'

Gilt yields fall after Donald Trump backs down in 'tariff war'

US president pauses most additional tariffs

Jonathan Stapleton
clock 10 April 2025 • 2 min read
Reeves defends yearly Budget to avoid 'constant chopping and changing'

Reeves defends yearly Budget to avoid 'constant chopping and changing'

Treasury Committee scrutinises chancellor on Spring Statement

Isabel Baxter
clock 02 April 2025 • 3 min read
Five key takeaways from the Spring Statement 2025

Five key takeaways from the Spring Statement 2025

OBR growth, ISA reforms and defence

Sorin Dojan
clock 27 March 2025 • 4 min read