Anthony Rayner: The inflation paradox

Cyclical upswing will turn

clock • 4 min read

Technology disrupters, labour markets and debt are muddying the economic waters, says Anthony Rayner, but markets still underappreciate what happens when central banks start to remove, rather than add, liquidity

Some of the most renowned economic theories suggest that persistently low unemployment, strong economic growth and a very expansive money supply should feed through to inflationary pressures. Today's environment is much different, however, as a number of structural forces have muddied the economic waters. Technology disrupters, such as Amazon and Uber, apply downward pressure on consumer prices and wages. This pressure is significant, as these businesses tend to be large monopolies that are growing materially and, in the case of Amazon, are smashing down barriers to entry to new sectors....

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