David Kelly: This is the wrong time for fiscal stimulus, Mr Trump

US economy ‘more healthy tortoise than sickly hare'

clock • 5 min read

David Kelly takes a look at Donald Trump's fiscal policy proposals and concludes resorting to extra stimulus from a heavily-indebted government in a full-employment economy would be a dangerous move indeed

Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election added a great deal of uncertainty to the market outlook. Following his generally conciliatory victory speech in the early hours of Wednesday morning, US equity markets rebounded along with the dollar while US Treasury yields rose more rapidly. Emerging market equities pulled back. The bottom line is, for most investors, election week 2016 saw some nice stockmarket gains. It is worth asking, however, whether investors are, yet again, underestimating uncertainty. There are at least three issues worth considering here, the first of whic...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Investment

Trump, Modi and US-India trade tensions – who cares?

Trump, Modi and US-India trade tensions – who cares?

A bottom-up approach to finding hidden gems

Gabriel Sacks
clock 02 January 2026 • 4 min read
2026: Year of the racehorse or workhorse?

2026: Year of the racehorse or workhorse?

'Every year brings its challenges, and 2026 will be no exception'

Russell Andrews
clock 02 January 2026 • 4 min read
Trian and General Catalyst to purchase Janus Henderson for $7.4bn

Trian and General Catalyst to purchase Janus Henderson for $7.4bn

Will continue to be led by current management team

Patrick Brusnahan
clock 23 December 2025 • 2 min read