Economist warns of dangers in Carney's forward guidance

clock

Mark Carney's revolutionary "forward guidance" on interest rates is so half-baked it could pose a threat to financial stability, a former Bank of England economist has warned.

Richard Barwell, senior European economist at Royal Bank of Scotland, said the central bank's commitment to keep rates at a record low of 0.5% until unemployment drops to 7% was "incomplete" because it did not map out the route back to normal monetary policy, the Sunday Telegraph reports. Fuller guidance from Carney (pictured), the new governor, would have been more effective because clarity about the timing of a first increase may "quickly give way to increased uncertainty about the rate of ascent" once the economy is motoring, Barwell, a senior economist at the Bank until 2011, said. ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Chancellor Khalaf has a plan to make our economy boom

Chancellor Khalaf has a plan to make our economy boom

'So, Sir Keir, if you're reading, I do genuinely hope Rachel is doing okay. And my number's still the same. So, you know, call me'

Laith Khalaf
clock 25 July 2025 • 5 min read
UK capital markets need to close gap between 'perception and reality' - Poppy Gustafsson

UK capital markets need to close gap between 'perception and reality' - Poppy Gustafsson

Speaking at IA annual conference

Sorin Dojan
clock 26 June 2025 • 2 min read
Trust in ONS data 'very low' as financial services shifts to alternative sources

Trust in ONS data 'very low' as financial services shifts to alternative sources

Follows latest inflation blunder

Sorin Dojan
clock 24 June 2025 • 4 min read