Planned changes to inflation calculations could hit gilt-holders

clock

The Chancellor is on a collision course with bond markets over plans to change how inflation is calculated. The switch could bring the exchequer a £3.8bn windfall from a reduction in interest payments.

The Office for National Statistics (ONS) will announce on Thursday its recommendation for changing how the retail prices index (RPI) is calculated, the Sunday Times reports. The move will have big implications for investors, including pension funds, that hold index-linked gilts The ONS is expected to recommend bringing RPI into line with the other main inflation measure, the consumer prices index (CPI). This could cut RPI by up to one percentage point and slash interest payments to holders of index-linked gilts. The move would risk alienating investors at a critical time for the bo...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

IFS: Reeves must plug £22bn fiscal hole to restore 'tiny' headroom

Think tank urges chancellor to avoid 'limping from one forecast to the next'

Linus Uhlig
clock 16 October 2025 • 2 min read
Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

Why higher bond yields aren't causing a Mini-Budget meltdown

'One thing we know about Rachel Reeves is she will live or die by her fiscal rules'

Laith Khalaf
clock 07 October 2025 • 5 min read
City 'has lost sympathy with this Labour government' - George Osborne

City 'has lost sympathy with this Labour government' - George Osborne

Former chancellor defends the OBR

Michael Nelson
clock 01 October 2025 • 3 min read