Swip says possibility of bear market up to 40%

clock

Swip head of international equities Michael McNaught-Davis believes the possibility of slipping back into a global bear market has increased to 40% in recent weeks.

McNaught-Davis, who believes government spending cuts across many parts of world risks stifling economic recoveries, says the likelihood of a global bear market has jumped from about 30% a month ago, Bloomberg reports. The MSCI World has plunged upward of 10% over the past month as pressures on many eurozone nations to reduce record budget deficits led to an investor exodus from risk assets. "There is a definite risk of a bear market and the reason why we do not quite believe it at the moment is that at the micro level it still looks quite rosy," McNaught-Davis says. "But at some p...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

OBR independence 'a major advantage' for UK economy

OBR independence 'a major advantage' for UK economy

Treasury Committee hearing

Alex Sebastian
clock 20 May 2026 • 4 min read
Bank of England warns of future rate uncertainty after vote to hold at 3.75%

Bank of England warns of future rate uncertainty after vote to hold at 3.75%

One vote to hike rates

Michael Nelson
clock 30 April 2026 • 2 min read
Navigating an uncertain environment: Applying a disciplined, data-driven approach

Navigating an uncertain environment: Applying a disciplined, data-driven approach

'​Looking ahead, the fundamental case remains constructive'

Fahad Hassan
clock 28 April 2026 • 2 min read