Global markets have likely seen a "capitulation" stage, though recent gains will need be consolidated before further recovery, according to Peter Lucas, global investment strategist at Ashburton.
While he acknowledged the seriousness of the banking problems besetting the US economy, Lucas believes that the falls of last week do indicate that a great deal of bad news has already been factored into share prices, and takes heart from a number of positive signals. "When scores of investors want out 'at any price', it is usually a sign that we are approaching an important low," he said. Secondly, Lucas pointed out that the Vix index - which tracks the cost of stock options - had spiked to a new high for the year, and last week it rose to levels not seen since 2002. He added: ...
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