Property will go down before it goes up - CSAM

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UK commercial property is set to remain in the doldrums through the first half of this year, before signs of recovery begin to appear, according to the Real Estate team at Credit Suisse Asset Management.

The team attributes the sector's steep decline to an over-heated investment market, the effects of the credit crunch and the wave of forced sales from some property funds, but sees signs for optimism. Lower interest rates, a relaxing of the credit crunch, sustainable fundamentals and a cooling but still growing economy all offer grounds for an upturn later this year, it is argued. Credit Suisse sees such a 'short sharp' market correction, driven in part by the activities of 'vulture' funds looking to benefit from the distressed selling of assets from retail funds. It also sees the lar...

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