UK economy gets cautious approval

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Economic growth may be headed for its best annual rate since the millenium, yet figues suggest public and private spending could be knocked according to figures from the Item Club.

The Club, made up of accountants, economists and other specialists, says there is a risk of public spending plans being challenged by the future state of the economy. The housing market is unlikely to 'crash', instead going for a 'soft landing', but there is a big challenge in the price of oil. Predictions for the UK economy by the Club last year relied on a price of $37 per barell - well below recent highs of more than $50 for New York crude. Although the UK is far better placed to withstand such an energy price shock than, say, in the 1970s, there is still an inflation threat cre...

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