Mark Carney: Brexit could lead to technical UK recession

Monetary tools available

Natalie Kenway
clock • 4 min read

Bank of England governor Mark Carney has said a technical recession is a possibility as a result of the UK voting to leave the EU in the upcoming referendum, but said there is room in monetary policy to boost growth through conventional or unconventional tools.

In May's Inflation Report, the Monetary Policy Committee downgraded growth forecasts for 2016 from 2.2% to 2% and said if the UK does leave the EU, "supply growth is likely to be lower over the forecast period". "We have made our judgements based on rigourous analysis and careful consideration," Carney (pictured) told the press at a conference following the release of the report. "There is a range of possible scenarios [should the UK leave] and that could include a technical recession. But we are not making any long-term assessments of the consequences. We are talking about the risks ...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

More than half of IFAs feel negative about a potential Labour govt

More than half of IFAs feel negative about a potential Labour govt

Advisers favour Conservatives when it comes to their clients and business

Isabel Baxter
clock 09 May 2024 • 2 min read
Elections and advice: Planning in political and legislative uncertainty

Elections and advice: Planning in political and legislative uncertainty

‘It should not be based on speculation, always plan on current legislation’

Isabel Baxter
clock 08 May 2024 • 3 min read
'Discussion-worthy stuff': Chinese assets under pressure

'Discussion-worthy stuff': Chinese assets under pressure

China has an 18% share of global GDP and only a 3% MSCI ACWI weighting

Chris Justham
clock 02 April 2024 • 2 min read