Budget 2015: Oil price decline prompts UK growth upgrades

clock

Lower inflation, driven by a fall in oil prices, has helped the Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) upgrade UK growth forecasts for 2015 and 2016 and given the government room to move on near-term borrowing.

UK CPI inflation hit a record low of 0.3% in January, driven by an oil price which has more than halved since last summer. The OBR today revised down its forecast for inflation this year to just 0.2%, and also scaled back forecasts for the next four years, though Osborne confirmed the Bank of England's inflation target remains at 2%. Lower inflation is thought to be behind today's decision by the OBR to revise up its 2015 growth forecast from 2.4% in December's Autumn Statement to 2.5% - but below the 2.6% figure some had predicted. Growth is forecast to come in at 2.3% for the sub...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

'Discussion-worthy stuff': Chinese assets under pressure

'Discussion-worthy stuff': Chinese assets under pressure

China has an 18% share of global GDP and only a 3% MSCI ACWI weighting

Chris Justham
clock 02 April 2024 • 2 min read
Why investors 'can't outrun' slow-moving demographics

Why investors 'can't outrun' slow-moving demographics

'Demographic change is a key megatrend'

Darius McDermott
clock 07 March 2024 • 5 min read
Spring Budget 24: Ten key takeaways from Jeremy Hunt's speech

Spring Budget 24: Ten key takeaways from Jeremy Hunt's speech

British ISA, Office for Budget Responsibility, tax cuts

Valeria Martinez
clock 07 March 2024 • 4 min read